Saturday, July 15, 2006

POLL DONE BY FRENCH POLING CO,?

FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS THE MSM AND MANY WEB SITES HAVE BEEN HEADLINING THE RESULTS OF A POLL THAT INDICATES BY A THREE TO ONE MARGIN AMERICANS PLAN TO VOTE DEMOCRATIC IN THE FALL ELECTION.
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AT FIRST GLANCE IT LOOKS BAD FOR THE REPUBLICANS COME NOVEMBER. BUT WHEN YOU LOOK CLOSELY AT WHO CONDUCTED THE POLL AND HOW THEY DID IT, IT TELLS A DIFFERENT STORY.
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THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED FOR THE ASSOCIATED PRESS, NOTORIOUS FOR THEIR LEFTIST AND ANTI-BUSH LEANING. BY A POLLING COMPANY HEADQUARTERED IN PARIS FRANCE. THE IPSOS COMPANY OWNED AND CONTROLLED BY "FROGS" ARE NOT EXACTLY AN UNBIASED FRIEND OF GEORGE BUSH. IN FACT THE SOCIALIST FRENCH ARE ANTI-AMERICAN.
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THE POLL DONE OVER THE TELEPHONE INCLUDED 1000 PEOPLE. THEY DON'T TELL YOU WHAT PERCENTAGE OF MEN AND WOMEN WERE POLLED OR WHERE THE POLLING WAS TARGETED. THE DEMOGRAPHICS OF POLLS CAN MAKE A BIG IMPACT ON THE RESULTS. EXAMPLES OF FAULTY POLLS ARE NUMEROUS, BUT THE ELECTION FOR GOVONER OF NEW YORK IN 1994 IS A GLARING EXAMPLE. PRE-ELECTION POLLS SHOWED GOV. CUOMO LED CHALLENGER PATAKI BY A RATIO OF 7%. THE RESULTS WERE CUOMO 41% AND PATAKI 49%. POLLS CAN ALSO BE SKEWED BY WHO ACTUALLY STAYS ON THE PHONE WHEN THEY ARE CALLED BY PHONE POLLSTERS.
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AT ANY RATE HISTORY SHOWS MANY EXAMPLES OF POLLS THAT WERE DEAD WRONG. DEWEY VERSUS TRUMAN IS A GOOD EXAMPLE. AS WAS THE LAST PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION. THE REPUBLICANS ARE IN SOME TROUBLE,BUT I DOUBT 3 OUT EVERY FOUR AMERICANS WANT TO TAKE A CHANCE ON THE "CUT AND RUN" PARTY IN NOVEMBER! DON'T DRINK THE COOL AIDE YET.

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